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Consistent with empirical evidence, we find that recovery rates are pro-cyclical when collateral is costly to liquidate.
Through links between recovery rates, risk premia, and default risk, the model generates an additional liquidity spiral, a feedback loop for the financial accelerator.
In computer science, this is known as the optimal stopping algorithm, aka the secretary problem. An abstraction layer capable of managing online dating for me: My first problem was solved: getting leads into the pipeline. If I changed my profile picture and got more “likes” as a result, that meant it was better.
I was tracking data, which made it easy to see what performed best.
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